Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caris LeVert * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 34 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Mitch McGary * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Zak Irvin | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Morgan | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jon Horford | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Hood * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 10-10 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Jabari Parker * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Josh Hairston * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Matt Jones | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter