Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Williams * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Thomas * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Antoine Myers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Jeff Mullahey * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tevin Calhoun * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kelton Ford | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Josh Warren | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Westley Hinton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Harrison-Docks * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Price * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 24 | - |
| George Fant * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Caden Dickerson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Payton Hulsey | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| O'Karo Akamune | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Trency Jackson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Harris | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daouda Soumaoro | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter