Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | -2.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -24 (61-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakeem Dickerson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Edward Townsel * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Kendrick Washington * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Seth Kisler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Pierre | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rubit * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 27 | - |
| B. Stevens * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Ammons * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Allen * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| I. Maston | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Saintil | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Boyanov | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Ferguson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Karazsia | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E.J. Conley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter