Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rubit * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 30 | - |
| K. Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| B. Stevens * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| A. Allen * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Ammons * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 16 | - |
| A. Saintil | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| G. Boyanov | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| I. Maston | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Williams * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 36 | - |
| Jeff Mullahey * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tevin Calhoun * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Thomas * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Antoine Myers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Josh Warren | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Kelton Ford | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
* = starter