Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Williams * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tevin Calhoun * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Mullahey * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Antoine Myers * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Thomas * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| JC Bonny | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Josh Warren | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Westley Hinton | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kelton Ford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James White * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Leroy Isler * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Will Neighbour * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Ben Dillard * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| DeVonte Smith * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Josh Hagins | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Kemy Osse | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Gus Leeper | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mareik Isom | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stetson Billings | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Maurius Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter