Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Davis * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Emani Gant * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Phil Hawkins * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Naiel Smith | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Corey Stern | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Gordon Ball | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stone * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Lucas Nutt * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Jarekious Bradley * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Nino Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Antonius Cleveland * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Darrian Gray | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C.J. Reese | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Calvin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter