Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Evan Bruinsma * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Carlton Brundidge * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Anton Wilson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ugochukwu Njoku * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Matthew Grant | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarod Williams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Patrick Onwenu | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine Lippert | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Stevens * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Ammons * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 27 | - |
| A. Rubit * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| A. Allen * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 23 | - |
| T.J. Johnson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Saintil | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| D. Ferguson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| G. Boyanov | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Karazsia | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Maston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter