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2014-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Omaha Mavericks Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +4 (86-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Omaha Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Simmons * 33 11-21 4-10 2-2 6 3 0 1 1 28 16 -
C.J. Carter * 32 2-13 1-7 3-4 5 6 1 0 2 8 5 -
Devin Patterson * 31 5-8 2-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 12 9 -
John Karhoff * 28 8-14 0-1 3-5 1 1 0 1 5 19 3 -
Mike Rostampour * 21 1-3 0-1 1-2 12 0 1 0 4 3 9 -
Alex Phillips 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
Marcus Tyus 14 4-9 1-3 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 9 2 -
Matt Hagerbaumer 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Caleb Steffensmeier 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pierre Bland * 35 1-6 0-2 4-4 6 4 1 1 1 6 11 -
Joseph Edwards * 30 5-9 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
Luis Jacobo * 27 3-10 2-7 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 9 1 -
Michael Kibiloski * 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 8 9 -
Steve Forbes * 13 5-8 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 11 3 -
Joe Reed 27 8-10 0-0 4-5 7 2 0 0 2 20 17 -
Mo Evans 23 4-7 2-3 5-7 5 1 1 0 2 15 13 -
Isaiah McCray 22 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 4 4 -
Herbert Graham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter