Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | +8.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +18 (75-57). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hawley * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Berkeley * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Richard Carter * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chris Caird * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Seth VanDeest * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jacob Enevold | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Daniels | 15 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Karl Madison | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Blake Danielak | 12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Daddy Ugbede | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mitch McLaughlin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Zeisloft * | 32 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Hunter * | 26 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Daishon Knight * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jamaal Samuel * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Zach Lofton | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tony Wills | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Lynch | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Matt Stacho | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter