Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Lemon * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Tyshon Pickett * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Auston Barnes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Omari Grier * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Xzavier Taylor * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ka'Darryl Bell | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Prosser | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mason Alwan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Fields | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Swopshire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Stefan Zecevic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nate Wells | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Blake | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorrian Williams * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Austin Ruder * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jamar Gulley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 31 | - |
| Ron Mvouika * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Christian Kirk * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Devon Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Pickens | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michael Simpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter