Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | -3.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +10 (84-74). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorrian Williams * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Austin Ruder * | 31 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Ron Mvouika * | 30 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jarmar Gulley * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tyler McCullough * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 19 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Devon Thomas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Caird * | 36 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Richard Carter * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 16-19 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Trevor Berkeley * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Hawley * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Seth VanDeest * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Daniels | 27 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jacob Enevold | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Karl Madison | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Blake Danielak | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daddy Ugbede | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter