Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Smithpeters * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Bola Olaniyan * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Desmar Jackson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Beane * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Sean O'Brien * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Pendleton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dawson Verhines | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike Balogun | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Davante Drinkard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorrian Williams * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Austin Ruder * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jamar Gulley * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 31 | - |
| Ron Mvouika * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Devon Thomas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyler McCullough | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter