Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | -2.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -14 (63-77). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Hunter * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft * | 25 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Lynch * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Zach Lofton * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Daishon Knight | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Tony Wills | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| John Jones | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Carter * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Hawley * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Blake Danielak * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Karl Madison * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Seth VanDeest * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jacob Enevold | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Daniels | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Chris Caird | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Berkeley | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daddy Ugbede | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mitch McLaughlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter