๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2014-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.3% 33.7% - โœ“
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Odum * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 2 0 3 15 24 -
Manny Arop * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 16 24 -
Dawon Cummings * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 13 16 -
Justin Gant * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 5 13 -
Demetrius Moore * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Devonte Brown 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
Khristian Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 12 16 -
Jake Kitchell 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 3 6 -
Lucas Eitel 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Brandon Burnett 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 8 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Daniels * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 15 20 -
Richard Carter * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 29 32 -
Seth VanDeest * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 10 15 -
Chris Caird * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 8 -
Trevor Berkeley * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 0 5 -
Aaron Hawley 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 11 17 -
Blake Danielak 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
Jacob Enevold 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 10 -
Karl Madison 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter