Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stone * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 35 | - |
| Jarekious Bradley * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 43 | - |
| Lucas Nutt * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Antonius Cleveland * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Darrian Gray * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paul McRoberts | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jamaal Calvin | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Nino Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Josh Langford | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Reese | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Marshall * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Jamar Gulley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Austin Ruder * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tyler McCullough * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Keith Pickens | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dorrian Williams | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ron Mvouika | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Devon Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter