Model Predictions
| Model | UAlbany Great Danes | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hooley * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Sam Rowley * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| John Puk * | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| DJ Evans * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Gary Johnson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Mike Rowley | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dave Wiegmann | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Dallas Ennema | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Levan Shengelia | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Anders Haas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Devlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Carter * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Daniels * | 30 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Berkeley * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Seth VanDeest * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Caird * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jacob Enevold | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Karl Madison | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Hawley | 18 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Daddy Ugbede | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter