Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Kennedy Eubanks * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Jamonte Graham * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jaleel Queary * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jay Harris | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Alex Bates | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jacquan Nobles | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chaed Wellian | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Gaither | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Lee * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Daishon Knight * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Bobby Hunter * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| John Jones * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Zach Lofton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Samuel | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Lynch | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Tony Wills | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter