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2013-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 87.8% 12.2% -
Bradley-Terry 75.0% 25.0% -
Margin 91.7% 8.3% -13.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 82.3% 17.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Log Adjusted 94.9% 5.1% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -20 (56-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ricks Jr. * 31 3-6 2-5 2-2 1 5 1 1 0 10 12 -
R. Carter * 31 5-12 2-3 0-0 4 7 4 0 1 12 14 -
C. Caird * 28 5-8 3-6 3-4 5 2 0 0 5 16 10 -
A. Hawley * 24 5-9 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 13 8 -
S. VanDeest * 16 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
J. Enevold 22 4-6 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 1 2 8 10 -
K. Madison 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 0 6 -
T. Berkeley 16 4-7 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
D. Ugbede 12 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
R. Puleikis 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. McLaughlin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Upshur * 30 8-17 1-5 3-5 2 3 3 0 4 20 7 -
G. Bewernick * 29 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 6 2 -
M. Jacobsen * 26 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 0 6 11 -
A. Dixon * 21 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
J. Martin * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Yanku 24 3-9 1-3 5-6 1 1 1 0 1 12 5 -
C. Miller 19 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 10 2 -
L. Springs 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
Z. Reynolds 12 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Kaluna 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
T. Meeker 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Heine 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter