Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -9 (70-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Beamon * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 34 | - |
| Rhamel Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Michael Alvarado * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Emmy Andujar * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| CJ Jones * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| RaShawn Stores | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Shane Richards | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Donovan Kates | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ashton Pankey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Wilson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Middlebrooks * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - |
| Bobby Hunter * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Zach Lofton * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| John Jones * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Daishon Knight | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Reggie Lynch | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tony Wills | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter