Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rozell Nunn * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Tim Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ray Lester * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Wiltz | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Keaton Jackson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Michael Messer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kris Davis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarke Rosenberg * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Corey Gray * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Matt Ross * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Quinton Pippen * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nate Duhon | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Kurt Karis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jared Dimakos | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Johnny Griffin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Markus Starks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter