Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +19 (75-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ross * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nate Duhon * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Quinton Pippen * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Corey Gray * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Clarke Rosenberg | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jared Dimakos | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Johnny Griffin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kurt Karis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Markus Starks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Hunter * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Daishon Knight * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| John Jones * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Lynch | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Zach Lofton | 22 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tony Wills | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Samuel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Stacho | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter