Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +23 (85-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Butler | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 15 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. James | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Houston | 12 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Kizer | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 31 | 8-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| R. Brunson | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| S. Augustus | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. McCarville | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Wright | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Peters | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Moore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Jarry | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| A. Harris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter