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Lafayette Leopards 66
@
Colgate Raiders 83
2014-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 ✓ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% - ✓

Actual: Colgate Raiders +17 (83-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joey Ptasinski * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 2 10 -
Nick Lindner * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 24 33 -
Seth Hinrichs * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 4 6 -
Bryce Scott * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 7 10 -
Dan Trist * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 19 20 -
Zach Rufer 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 5 9 -
Michael Hoffman 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Nathaniel Musters 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ben Freeland 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Murphy Burnatowski * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 25 28 -
Luke Roh * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 2 9 -
Chad Johnson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 13 14 -
Clayton Graham * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
Damon Sherman-Newsome 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 12 -
Ethan Jacobs 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 1 0 18 33 -
Matt McMullen 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
Nathan Harries 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter