Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +15 (63-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. McLaurin * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - |
| K. Knorr * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| B. Venturini * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| W. Kelly * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Z. Fong | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| J. Hemphill | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Vermeer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Alade | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Andrus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Alter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wynn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Elliott * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Devarick Houston * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | - |
| Malik Garner * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Quentin Jones * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| David Kadiri * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Charles Taylor | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brett Roseboro | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Bryan Harris | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Will Darley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joey Getz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter