Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Duren * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Justin Sears * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Armani Cotton * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Nick Victor * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Sherrod * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Matt Townsend | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jesse Pritchard | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Dallier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jack Montague | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Kelley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Hinrichs * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 33 | - |
| Nick Lindner * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Bryce Scott * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dan Trist * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Alan Flannigan * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joey Ptasinski | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nathaniel Musters | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zach Rufer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Michael Hoffman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Les Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Freeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter