Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.3% | 96.7% | +18.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +22 (80-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Sims * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Devon Agusi * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Edrico McGregor * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Williams * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Phillip Jones * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Sherman | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Wood | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Keon Lewis | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Hyjii Thomas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lucas O'Brien | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Benford | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hunter * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Upshaw Jr. * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| K. Hammonds II * | 25 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| T. Knight * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Jones * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Tarrance | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Raymond | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Jefferson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Rozier | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Phillips | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Walker | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Gibson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Chilton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter