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North Florida Ospreys 79
@
Jacksonville Dolphins 74
2014-02-14

Model Predictions

Model North Florida Ospreys Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 ✓ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 65.2% 34.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 65.3% 34.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% - ✓

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dallas Moore * 36 5-12 1-5 0-0 1 6 1 1 4 11 4 -
Travis Wallace * 29 3-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 2 2 8 10 -
Beau Beech * 28 7-11 5-9 2-3 6 1 0 0 2 21 15 -
Charles McRoy * 28 4-6 1-3 1-3 5 3 2 0 3 10 11 -
Chris Davenport * 22 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 7 6 -
Jalen Nesbitt 24 3-4 1-2 4-4 2 1 1 0 2 11 9 -
D. Daniels 18 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 6 7 -
Romelo Banks 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
Sean Brennan 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 4 -

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Martin * 34 7-10 1-2 1-2 1 4 1 0 2 16 10 -
K. McDougald * 33 2-14 1-7 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 7 -1 -
J. Dawson * 28 5-9 2-2 2-2 2 0 3 0 1 14 9 -
J. Haywood * 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 3 4 4 -
M. White 22 2-4 1-2 2-4 5 2 1 0 1 7 10 -
J.R. Holder 20 5-7 1-2 5-6 3 0 3 0 2 16 13 -
S. Hunt 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Murray 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter