Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Martin * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Dawson * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. McDougald * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | - |
| J. Haywood * | 25 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| J.R. Holder | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. White | 17 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Murray | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Hunt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bogus | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kinard Gadsden-Gilliard * | 37 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Rashawn Rembert * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Hunter Harris * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Petey McClain * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Merriweather * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Lester Wilson | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Riley | 17 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Lukas Poderis | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter