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2014-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Bryant Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“

Actual: Bryant Bulldogs +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rashad Whack * 36 6-12 6-8 3-4 3 1 1 1 0 21 15 -
Julian Norfleet * 36 6-15 0-3 2-4 3 6 2 0 3 14 7 -
Sam Prescott * 34 3-9 0-3 1-2 4 0 2 0 1 7 3 -
Taylor Danaher * 25 5-7 0-0 9-9 12 0 0 2 3 19 23 -
Will Miller * 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 0 -
Gregory Graves 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 1 1 0 5 -
B.K. Ashe 18 4-9 3-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 11 3 -
Khalid Nwandu 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Will Lyle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bryant Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyami Starks * 40 7-14 2-3 0-0 6 5 2 0 4 16 11 -
Corey Maynard * 37 5-11 2-6 4-7 7 1 1 2 3 16 13 -
Joe O'Shea * 36 3-6 1-2 3-4 4 1 0 1 0 10 10 -
Alex Francis * 35 9-16 0-0 7-9 9 1 2 0 2 25 19 -
Shane McLaughlin * 32 2-2 0-0 3-5 4 2 2 0 2 7 11 -
Dan Garvin 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Curtis Oakley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter