Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +33 (98-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Whack * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Sam Prescott * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Julian Norfleet * | 28 | 4-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| B.K. Ashe * | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Danaher * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Will Miller | 30 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Gregory Graves | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Liam McManimon | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Lyle | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Maalik Howard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Travis Trice * | 21 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| A. Ellis III * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Alex Gauna * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Keith Appling | 28 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 24 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Branden Dawson | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter