Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -5.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 12-17 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Sam Prescott * | 34 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gregory Graves * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B.K. Ashe * | 22 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kristijan Krajina * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Rashad Whack | 40 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Will Miller | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Khalid Nwandu | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Taylor Danaher | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Elliott * | 42 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Devarick Houston * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Joey Getz * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Malik Garner * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brett Roseboro * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Charles Taylor | 26 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 21 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Morgan | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| David Kadiri | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter