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2014-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% - โœ“
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.3% 90.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames +14 (90-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lucas Woodhouse * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 24 27 -
Karl Ziegler * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 12 17 -
Leron Fisher * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 3 6 11 -
T.T. Carey * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 20 26 -
Jeylani Dublin * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 9 -
Damarion Geter 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 2 10 -
Jeff Havenstein 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Isaac Belton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
Tyler Akers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tomasz Gielo * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 3 1 4 20 29 -
J. Sanders * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 22 28 -
Joe Retic * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 1 5 15 -
Antwan Burrus * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 20 28 -
Andrew Smith * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 5 1 12 26 -
Davon Marshall 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
JR Coronado 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 11 -
Joel Vander Pol 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Wesley Alcegaire 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sommy Ogukwe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Devon Pekas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Casey Roberts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chad Donley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter