Model Predictions
| Model | Liberty Flames | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +2 (54-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Marshall * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Tomasz Gielo * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Sanders * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| JR Coronado * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Smith * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Antwan Burrus | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Joe Retic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joel Vander Pol | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ethan Layer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorrian Williams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Austin Ruder * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jamar Gulley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Tyler McCullough * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Ron Mvouika | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Devon Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter