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2014-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 86.7% 13.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 94.8% 5.2% - โœ—
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 โœ“ (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +26 (86-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Gipson * 33 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
Shane Southwell * 27 4-8 0-1 1-1 1 2 1 0 1 9 4 -
Wesley Iwundu * 25 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
Will Spradling * 25 2-6 0-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Marcus Foster * 23 3-12 0-3 1-4 5 3 0 0 0 7 3 -
Jevon Thomas 28 2-7 1-1 4-6 3 1 0 0 2 9 4 -
Nino Williams 17 4-5 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
D.J. Johnson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nigel Johnson 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Omari Lawrence 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Brian Rohleder 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Schultz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Selden * 35 7-10 3-5 3-5 4 3 1 0 3 20 15 -
Andrew Wiggins * 33 7-13 3-4 5-6 5 2 1 0 1 22 16 -
Naadir Tharpe * 33 1-7 0-5 2-2 1 9 0 0 0 4 7 -
Perry Ellis * 30 6-11 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 12 8 -
Joel Embiid * 19 5-7 1-2 0-0 9 2 0 2 1 11 16 -
Jamari Traylor 16 2-2 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 1 0 6 9 -
Tarik Black 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 4 7 -
Frank Mason 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
Conner Frankamp 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Justin Wesley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brannen Greene 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter