🐻⬇️🏀

Oklahoma State Cowboys 71
@
Kansas State Wildcats 74
2014-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma State Cowboys Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 73.5% 26.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% - ✓

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brown 37 2-8 0-2 12-14 9 2 0 1 2 16 18 -
L. Nash 33 7-14 0-2 6-9 6 2 0 1 3 20 12 -
K. Murphy 33 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 2 7 -
B. Williams 31 1-6 0-0 2-2 9 2 2 0 1 4 10 -
P. Forte III 28 4-8 2-4 4-5 2 1 1 0 1 14 9 -
M. Smart 28 6-14 1-6 2-5 6 3 0 1 2 15 9 -
M. Soucek 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Sager 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
L. Hammonds 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Spradling 37 2-6 2-6 3-6 2 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
T. Gipson 34 3-8 0-0 4-4 11 0 1 1 2 10 13 -
M. Foster 32 6-13 2-6 3-4 8 2 0 1 2 17 13 -
J. Thomas 25 4-10 0-3 0-3 2 5 0 0 2 8 3 -
N. Williams 24 4-7 0-0 7-9 3 0 1 0 0 15 12 -
S. Southwell 17 1-5 1-4 3-4 3 1 2 1 0 6 8 -
W. Iwundu 17 2-5 0-0 5-6 2 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
O. Lawrence 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 -1 -
D.J. Johnson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
N. Johnson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter