Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns -14 (78-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 34 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 11-12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 28 | - |
| Branden Dawson | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Gary Harris | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Keith Appling | 28 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Travis Trice | 21 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarcus Holland | 32 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Ridley | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jonathan Holmes | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 26 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Javan Felix | 25 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Kendal Yancy | 23 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Connor Lammert | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Prince Ibeh | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Damarcus Croaker | 8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Martez Walker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter