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2014-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“

Actual: Portland State Vikings +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Sanchez * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 4 0 3 22 30 -
C. Hansen * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 18 23 -
A. Hatchett * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 3 7 12 -
J. Solarin * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 4 19 24 -
A. Preh * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 2 6 -
E. Hall 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 2 8 -
S. Tyler 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 2 8 -
A. Magot 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Winston * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 0 4 14 22 -
Marcus Hall * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 19 30 -
Tim Douglas * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 2 4 12 -
Kyle Richardson * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 2 2 28 43 -
A. Winston, Jr. * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 11 19 -
DaShaun Wiggins 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Brandon Cataldo 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alyx Foster 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Zach Gengler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter