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Northern Colorado Bears 90
@
North Dakota Fighting Hawks 94
2014-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears North Dakota Fighting Hawks Spread Result
Elo 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% - ✓
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 ✓ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% - ✓

Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Wilson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 6 9 -
Derrick Barden * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 17 21 -
Tevin Svihovec * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 16 18 -
Tate Unruh * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 13 17 -
Connor Osborne * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
Tim Huskisson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 10 11 -
Cody McDavis 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 9 10 -
Anthony Johnson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 7 8 -
Dominique Lee 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 8 10 -

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Huff * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 34 40 -
Aaron Anderson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 20 26 -
Jaron Nash * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 14 21 -
Jamal Webb * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 7 1 0 2 5 16 -
Alonzo Traylor * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 4 8 -
Chad Calcaterra 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
Quinton Hooker 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 5 6 -
Cole Stefan 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Ryan Salmonson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lenny Antwi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter