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2014-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 โœ— (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.0% 32.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% - โœ—

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Sanchez * 40 2-10 2-9 4-5 2 2 1 0 3 10 2 -
C. Hansen * 37 2-5 0-2 3-4 2 4 1 0 0 7 9 -
A. Hatchett * 35 8-18 0-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 17 4 -
A. Preh * 32 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 3 1 3 1 2 12 -
J. Solarin * 30 8-9 0-0 4-4 5 2 1 1 2 20 18 -
E. Hall 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6 -
J. Smith 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
S. Tyler 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Magot 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 6 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Flavien Davis * 34 4-8 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 0 3 11 9 -
Terrell Brown * 33 3-6 3-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 13 9 -
Antonio Biglow * 31 5-10 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 3 12 7 -
Marcus Colbert * 30 4-10 1-3 3-3 1 2 0 0 1 12 4 -
Paul Egwuonwu * 16 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Danny Robison 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 1 4 9 -
Stephan Holm 15 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 -1 -
Michael Dison 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Blake Brumwell 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter