Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaseem Dixon * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Quinton Upshur * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Gaellen Bewernick * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Len Springs * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Max Jacobsen * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordyn Martin | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kris Yanku | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ako Kaluna | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Christopher Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Travis Meeker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Heine | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikh McKinney * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 35 | - |
| Dylan Garrity * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Zach Mills * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Cody Demps * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Alex Tiffin * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dreon Barlett | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Salley | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Eric Stuteville | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Hornsby | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joey Quigley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter