Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -2 (52-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Norman * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 23 | - |
| Calen Coleman * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Colbert * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Flavien Davis * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Terrell Brown * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Antonio Biglow | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Michael Dison | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Danny Robison | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Blake Brumwell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Hess * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| John Marshall * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Casey Oliverson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jaren Jeffery * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Trey Kennedy * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Major | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cal Hanks | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Race Parsons | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jayson Cheesman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| McKay Anderson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Drake Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric Rippetoe | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Nsenki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter