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2014-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Margin 90.6% 9.4% -12.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 88.1% 11.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.1% 5.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Gregory * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 15 14 -
Kareem Jamar * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 1 2 25 33 -
Keron DeShields * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 12 20 -
Mario Dunn * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 1 1 11 17 -
Eric Hutchison * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Michael Weisner 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Brandon Gfeller 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Andy Martin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 2 10 -
Chris Kemp 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Riley Bradshaw 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Kennedy * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 6 17 21 -
Casey Oliverson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 14 22 -
A.J. Hess * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 8 17 -
John Marshall * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
Cal Hanks * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 6 -
Race Parsons 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
Jaren Jeffery 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 8 11 -
Eric Rippetoe 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Juwan Major 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
McKay Anderson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Chris Nsenki 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jayson Cheesman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter