Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +15 (60-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Hess * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chris Nsenki * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Cal Hanks * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jayson Cheesman * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Drake Thomas * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trey Kennedy | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jaren Jeffery | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Casey Oliverson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| McKay Anderson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Major | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Race Parsons | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sanchez * | 37 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Hansen * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Solarin * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Hatchett * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| A. Preh * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Hall | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Magot | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Tyler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter