Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikh McKinney * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Dylan Garrity * | 34 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Cody Demps * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Zach Mills * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alex Tiffin * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Salley | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dreon Barlett | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Nick Hornsby | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Joey Quigley | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Stuteville | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaseem Dixon * | 35 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Max Jacobsen * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Quinton Upshur * | 31 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Gaellen Bewernick * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jordyn Martin * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Len Springs | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Christopher Miller | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kris Yanku | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ako Kaluna | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter