Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Garrity * | 33 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Zach Mills * | 30 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Mikh McKinney * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Cody Demps * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alex Tiffin * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Hornsby | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eric Stuteville | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Salley | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dreon Barlett | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Joey Quigley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Case Rada | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kendall Groom | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trevis Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Okwudibonye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Egwuonwu * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Michael Dison * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Flavien Davis * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Colbert * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Terrell Brown * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Calen Coleman | 24 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Biglow | 22 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Danny Robison | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Stephan Holm | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Eric Norman | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter