Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.2 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +37 (76-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kennedy * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Oliverson * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Jeffery * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Hess * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Hanks | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Major | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Cheesman | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Nsenki | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Parsons | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Anderson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Rippetoe | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jenson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Thomas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| M. Shrigley * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| X. Thames * | 20 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Quinn | 26 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Allen | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Johnson | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Williams | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Staten | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Woldemichael | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Maxwell | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Federico | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter