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2013-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - โœ—
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +16.9 โœ— (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 1.3% 98.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 19.0% 81.0% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Pilots -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Colbert * 33 6-13 2-6 5-6 6 7 3 0 2 19 20 -
Eric Norman * 32 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 1 3 9 -
Terrell Brown * 31 2-6 0-1 7-8 3 0 2 0 1 11 9 -
Paul Egwuonwu * 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
Danny Robison * 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Flavien Davis 25 7-12 0-0 5-9 3 0 0 0 1 19 9 -
Antonio Biglow 23 3-8 0-1 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 7 4 -
Michael Dison 15 2-4 0-0 1-4 3 2 2 0 1 5 7 -
Stephan Holm 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 34 6-8 2-4 1-1 15 0 0 0 2 15 20 -
K. Bailey * 31 8-17 2-6 8-9 5 1 1 2 6 26 12 -
T. van der Mars * 31 4-7 0-0 1-2 6 4 2 3 1 9 16 -
A. Wintering * 28 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 7 8 -
B. Pressley * 27 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 6 0 0 3 4 4 -
K. Thieleke 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
R. Barker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
T. Riley 8 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
B. Sharp 8 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
D. Carr 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
V. Gerun 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter