Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sanchez * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| C. Hansen * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 26 | - |
| A. Hatchett * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 28 | - |
| J. Smith * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Preh * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Hall | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | - |
| S. Tyler | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ahmed * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Issiah Grayson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Barnes * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Javonte Maynor | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Erik Kinney | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Corey Hall | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Zach Lamb | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Zech Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter