Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Demps * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Dylan Garrity * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Mikh McKinney * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Joey Quigley * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Alex Tiffin * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Eric Stuteville | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Nick Hornsby | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Salley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dreon Barlett | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kendall Groom | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Mills | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Case Rada | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issiah Grayson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| A. Ahmed * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Barnes * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Javonte Maynor | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Zach Lamb | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Zech Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Corey Hall | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Erik Kinney | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kregg Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter