Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Russell * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Yanick Moreira | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Keith Frazier | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ben Moore | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Draper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jake McDowell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 39 | 3-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Joe Jackson * | 39 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Austin Nichols * | 35 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Geron Johnson * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nick King | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Michael Dixon | 16 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| David Pellom | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Dominic Woodson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter